ǰЩ죬ʿٵһֲƱ Cash WinFalһѾõ©˾ǣһ 73 ķѾ© ˳ 600 Ԫ һʱǣҲҪʼ顣
۶IJƱ⣿ڲƱһּȫϷķǾԷô©Ƶİɡ
Cash WinFalƱô
Cash WinFalIJƱϷ ܼڳġ X ѡ X ƣÿעƱļ۸Ϊ 2 Ԫ 1 C 46 6 ظͨĿڣͨΪһڣУнΪѡ 2 Ϳ֣ͬӮ 2 Ԫѡ 3 Ϳ֣ͬӮ 5 Ԫѡ 4 Ϳ֣ͬӮ 150 Ԫѡ 5 Ϳ֣ͬӮ 4,000 Ԫѡ 6 ֺͿȫͬʱͷJACKPOT
ͷһĽأҲ˵ͷĽDz̶ģʼΪ 50 Ԫijһûͷôһοʱӣӵ۶йأԼ۶ 60%
ڶûͷ⼸ڵĻۣͷJACKPOTᵽһӴ֣ͨ 200 ԪʱƱ̾ͻһĿڣڱROLLDOWNROLLDOWNڽûӮͷͷĽ±Ϊ 50 Ԫһشı仯ǾСĽӦرߣѡ 2 Ϳ֣ͬȻ 2 Ԫѡ 3 Ϳ֣ͬӮ 50Ԫѡ 4 Ϳ֣ͬӮ 1,500 Ԫѡ 5 Ϳ֣ͬӮ 40,000 Ԫ 6 ֺͿȫͬʱܻ 200 Ԫij
ϿdzԻͷ½۹ʱѽСô档һһ©ǡɱǶԷ֣Ӷ˴ơ©أ
ȥ ROLLDOWNƱƽʱIJƱûκԣһROLLDOWNϡ
ROLLDOWNصǣСĽĽȻͨûб仯Ľ֮ǰȷ 10 DzֱһͨROLLDOWNн
СĽ˵ҪȯϵǡͿͬ˵ȯ 6 ֮һĸʣ 40 ûпĺ֮һʱнĸΪ
Դƣǻȼĸʣ
ȥЩннĸΪ
ijͨĿJACKPOTĽΪ 100 ԪʱÿŲƱýΪ
Ҳ˵ƱƽÿŲƱ 1.20Ԫ Ƕ ROLLDOWN ڣͷΪ 200 ԪƣÿŲƱĽǣ
ʱƱÿŲƱƽ 2.46 Ԫ
ÿֻһŻŲƱIJĸıʵûʲôӰ죺һŲƱ 3 ϵĸʵ̫ͣʹˣִȻӮ
ǶЩɵġˡ˵ͱòһˡǵǣÿ ROLLDOWN ڣһ 10 ԪϵIJƱĹΪ;ͳѧ塪ʱÿŲƱԲƱƵرʾǻõ棺 10 Ԫƣÿ ROLLDOWN ƽܹ 24.6 ԪĽ
Ʊʲô
Ȼ˿©ǮôһΪ©ǮȻǮDzƱ̡ϿԷ֣WinFal 2004 9 13 տʼۣǰᵽǶԷѾ© 600 ԪĽ˳һ䣬DzֹԼˡ桱꣬˲ʹ˾˷ʽƹ㣬ڽµһ ROLLDOWN У 1605 1105 ΪҲʹ˾áһ£ÿ궼ּ ROLLDOWN ڡ 2004 굽 2011 ôʱ䣬Ϊʲôûзأ
Ϊں̶ܴϣ©ûбռ Ŀǰ˽Ϣ ©ǮģҲֻеһԷѡļ¼Է֣Լ 20 вŻһROLLDOWNڡ
һ棬ԲƱ˵ʵҲûɶʧƱ۵ݣܹ 600 ˣ 10% ڲƱϷ 60 ˣôÿͨڲƱ̵ƽΪ 600,000 1.20 = 720,000 Ԫÿ ROLLDOWN ڵǰ 19 ڣԻõ 720,000 19 = 13,680,000 ԪROLLDOWNڣûԷIJ룬Ҳ 600,000 2.46 = 1,476,000 Ԫ֮£Էߵֻһͷ˰ˡ
仰˵ûС©ߡ£WinFal IJƱÿ 20 ڿ13,680,000 - 1,476,000 = 12,204,000 ԪȻһֱǮȻ벻Ʊ©ˣ˵˲ơ
Ҫ˵ǣƱһdzϷʹҵ©ҲһĽסֻҪܼпܵĺ붼⣬ȻǮķաжأ
ǿԷÿ ROLLDOWN ÿһŲƱľΪһÿع 10 ԪIJƱ 5 ţͿԻһϵ X1 X2 X50000ҷͬһֲ
ļǿ֪õµֲ̬
֪
ǾǮĸΪ
Լʹ©ÿͶ10 ԪȻ 11.2% ĿܻǮ
һԹIJƱԼǮĿԡһι 100 ŲƱǮĸʾͽʣ 0.02%Ҫijʼʽ𣬶˴ģĶҲͱ֣Էѡ 10 ԪӦDZȽʵĹˣɴƶϣһо˺ܾãdzϸؿÿϸڡ
ƱʵϷ
йƱƱƱΪ֪ġǵĽؽޣҲΪ˷ֹý 0 ©
ң֮ǰᵽ WinFal ڣЩƱĽؽۼƶ۶йأоǣжͬʱ˴һ㶼ᱻƽ֡Щһ̶ϣֹⱾij֡صʽãܻһֻǶѡ WinFal ֵ©ʵΪäĿ˲ƽֵСµġ
֮ܶʲôƱһָʵϷеԭĥе©Ҳʲô¡ʵȷʵ֯רѰҲƱе©Դ˻ɴ˿ѲƱͶߵϷȷܶѧҲڻأ
ѧѧúãſԷֱ˷ֲ˵Ǯ
Դ U.S. 73-year-old wife exploited by researchers in the calculation of Massachusetts 6 million employed
